The Brexit saga

The Brexit saga

The latest development is that the Government is going to prorogue parliament in mid September. The result is that it is going to be much harder for MPs to stop a no deal Brexit.

I have no idea how things are going to play out in the next couple of months. I don’t rate Corbyn as a political leader. It remains to be seen whether he and all the other Remain parties can find a way to prevent a no deal Brexit. We know that Corbyn wants Brexit. We know that the Remain parties would prefer to have someone other than Corbyn to lead a government of national unity.

We are still waiting to see if Corbyn is actually going to table a motion of no confidence in the government on Tuesday 3rd September.  It will only succeed if seven or eight Conservatives support it. We know there are some Labour MPs who would rather have a no deal Brexit rather than no Brexit at all. They will most likely support Johnson. It is by no means clear that this motion will pass even if it tabled.

Johnson has already let it be known that he won’t resign even if he loses the vote of no confidence. He will call an election. I think he will win it unless a no deal Brexit really has caused chaos.

Legal challenges to the decision to prorogue are coming in from all corners of the UK. John Major has joined one of the legal actions. The Government of Wales has joined this action. There is already a challenge to prorogation underway in the Scottish courts. A challenges has also started in the courts in Northern Ireland where they plan to argue that no deal threatens the Good Friday agreement.

We need Brexit settled one way or the other. I have no objection to a Brexit election.

It is amazing that 3 years after the referendum no one can say with any certainty what is going to happen.

I don’t support the prorogation in the current circumstances and therefore popped along to Parliament Square to join the protests. It was a crowd of a couple of thousand. The police let protesters block buses more or less at will. The police could have kept the protestors on Parliament Green to minimise disruption but did not do so.

At the end, the police could have been far more assertive in dispersing the crowd which was only a couple of thousand strong. They saw fit not to do that. The result was a few buses were stuck in traffic for at least an hour if not longer. I do wonder how blocking roads so people cannot get home or enjoy a tourist bus tour of London helps the cause.

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